I typically breed ball pythons and bearded dragons, and I'm just getting into ATB's myself. So take my advice with a grain of salt. That being said I believe you are right.
I think that most of the color varients in ATBs are results of breeding back animals that had certain colors. Unlike genetic morphs where breed this x this and get that holds true, I think it's more of a locality/variation.
I guess where my thought process comes in is that it's alot like the bearded dragons. You see alot of different colors that have been selectively bred and when you breed two like colors together you have a good idea of what will come, but you don't know for sure because of it's genetic history.
Just my two cents and I hope it's worth that.

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