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To clarify what the others have said....

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Posted by: JP at Mon Jul 9 14:49:35 2007   [ Email Message ] [ Show All Posts by JP ]  
   

The previous posters make the common mistake we see here every day. Its a simple misapplication of genetic probabilities.

Breeding a het to a het does not give you a 1 out of 4 visuals, or even 25% visuals and 75% possible hets, as the other posted suggested.

What genetics does tell us is this: In a simple recessive trait, a breeding involving a het to a het will give each INDIVIDUAL OFFSPRING a 25% chance of inheriting the hozygous (visual) condition.

Here's the difference in the two points of view. Lets say you subscribe to the 1 outa 4 thought process. In that case, lets say you have an 4 egg clutch. The first 3 pip and all appear normal. You might think then you have a high probability of the 4th egg being the visual, when in actuality you still have the same 25% chance. Its just like flipping a coin. If you flip heads the first 9 times, you still have a 50-50 shot of flipping heads on the 10th.

You could have an 8 egg clutch with all visuals or all possible hets, and any combination thereof. Even assuming very large sample sizes will not necessarily get you your 25-75 ration.

Just remember the percentages you read are PER EGG, not to be extended to ____ out of ____ for the clutch....


   

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>> Next Message:  Geezy, that had a lot of typos...lol. np - JP, Mon Jul 9 14:51:16 2007
>> Next Message:  RE: To clarify what the others have said - pheonix, Mon Jul 9 14:54:48 2007
>> Next Message:  "to clarify"..... - alpharoyals, Mon Jul 9 17:04:14 2007
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