return to main index

  mobile - desktop
follow us on facebook follow us on twitter follow us on YouTube link to us on LinkedIn
Southwestern Center for Herpetological Research  
Click here for Dragon Serpents
This Space Available
3 months for $50.00
Locate a business by name: click to list your business
search the classifieds. buy an account
events by zip code list an event
Search the forums             Search in:
News & Events: Herp Photo of the Day: Morelia . . . . . . . . . .  Herp Photo of the Day: Ringneck Snake . . . . . . . . . .  Colorado Herp Society Meeting - Nov 15, 2025 . . . . . . . . . .  Chicago Herpetological Society Meeting - Nov 16, 2025 . . . . . . . . . .  San Diego Herp Society Meeting - Nov 18, 2025 . . . . . . . . . .  Suncoast Herp Society Meeting - Nov 22, 2025 . . . . . . . . . .  DFW Herp Society Meeting - Nov 22, 2025 . . . . . . . . . .  Tucson Herpetological Society Meeting - Nov 24, 2025 . . . . . . . . . .  Bay Area Herpetological Society Meeting - Nov 28, 2025 . . . . . . . . . .  Greater Cincinnati Herp Society Meeting - Dec 03, 2025 . . . . . . . . . .  Southwestern Herp Society Meeting - Dec 06, 2025 . . . . . . . . . .  Kentucky Reptile Expo - Dec. 06, 2025 . . . . . . . . . . 

To clarify what the others have said....

[ Login ] [ User Prefs ] [ Search Forums ] [ Back to Main Page ] [ Back to Ball Pythons ]

Posted by: JP at Mon Jul 9 14:49:35 2007   [ Email Message ] [ Show All Posts by JP ]  
   

The previous posters make the common mistake we see here every day. Its a simple misapplication of genetic probabilities.

Breeding a het to a het does not give you a 1 out of 4 visuals, or even 25% visuals and 75% possible hets, as the other posted suggested.

What genetics does tell us is this: In a simple recessive trait, a breeding involving a het to a het will give each INDIVIDUAL OFFSPRING a 25% chance of inheriting the hozygous (visual) condition.

Here's the difference in the two points of view. Lets say you subscribe to the 1 outa 4 thought process. In that case, lets say you have an 4 egg clutch. The first 3 pip and all appear normal. You might think then you have a high probability of the 4th egg being the visual, when in actuality you still have the same 25% chance. Its just like flipping a coin. If you flip heads the first 9 times, you still have a 50-50 shot of flipping heads on the 10th.

You could have an 8 egg clutch with all visuals or all possible hets, and any combination thereof. Even assuming very large sample sizes will not necessarily get you your 25-75 ration.

Just remember the percentages you read are PER EGG, not to be extended to ____ out of ____ for the clutch....


   

[ Hide Replies ]


>> Next topic:  A better picture of the POWERBALL - Jeremy Stone, Mon Jul 9 14:52:13 2007
<< Previous topic:  newest snake - pasnakeman, Mon Jul 9 14:10:07 2007