Posted by:
RandyRemington
at Thu Jul 17 01:21:12 2008 [ Email Message ] [ Show All Posts by RandyRemington ]
The 25% chance of homozygous albino from het X het is per egg. Each egg has a 75% chance of not containing an albino.
With 5 eggs the cumulative chance of none of them being albino is 0.75^5 = 23.7% So you where unlucky but not that unlucky. Long-term roughly 1 out of 4 such clutches would miss in a large number of such breedings. Maybe next time you will be one of the 3 lucky ones.
Now if the clutch had been bigger, say 9 eggs then you would have had a 1 - 0.75^9 = 92.5% chance of hatching at least one albino. But even then you could have been the unlucky 7.5 in 100 and not hatched any albinos. Feed mom up to lay more eggs next year and improve your odds. Of course an albino male will also greatly improve your odds if that is in your budget.
[ Hide Replies ]
- 100% Possible nothings - ejohns10, Wed Jul 16 23:43:32 2008
- RE: 100% Possible nothings - Coldthumb, Thu Jul 17 00:06:09 2008
- RE: 100% Possible nothings - kingofspades, Thu Jul 17 01:05:52 2008
- RE: 100% Possible nothings - Somed00d, Thu Jul 17 01:09:00 2008
 Odds - RandyRemington, Thu Jul 17 01:21:12 2008
- RE: 100% Possible nothings - bsr inc, Thu Jul 17 07:01:44 2008
- RE: 100% Possible nothings - brhaco, Thu Jul 17 07:25:31 2008
- Another way to look at it... - PiedPeddler, Thu Jul 17 09:24:34 2008
- RE: 100% Possible nothings - DragonDavy, Thu Jul 17 09:42:19 2008
- RE: 100% Possible nothings - morphed, Thu Jul 17 11:26:18 2008
- RE: 100% Possible nothings - pfan151, Thu Jul 17 15:45:28 2008
- RE: 100% Possible nothings - dmasio13, Thu Jul 17 17:54:19 2008
- it happens....5 isn't alot - jyohe, Thu Jul 17 18:16:58 2008
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