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RE: I did the math on the odds

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Posted by: draybar at Wed Dec 1 17:42:57 2010   [ Email Message ] [ Show All Posts by draybar ]  
   

>>The odds that not one of them was blonde in 8 independent 50/50 trials is less than 0.3%. That is some awfully bad luck if she is in fact a het. But I guess stranger things have happened. I couldn't tell you were these strange things happened other than once in my snake room, but I guess it is just part of getting hets.
>>
>>I contacted the breeder and he assured me it was a het. But I do not even feel confident reselling the adult female as a het. I feel like I proved her out to be a normal.



..you can do the math a thousand times and the eggs are still going to be what they are.
I've bred this one pair of snakes together for three seasons..I hatched the female and know for a fact this is the only male she has been with. Out of 53 eggs in three seasons ONE was anery. This obviously means the parents are het anery.
If you breed two het anerys together the odds say... what?.. approximately 25% anery. so, doing the math I should have had around 13 anerys....the numbers are just numbers...the eggs can't add.
To assume after one breeding that the snake is not het is jumping the gun. I would fatten her up and get her ready for next season and breed her again. At this time you really don't have enough proof to demand a refund or to question the breeder's honesty.
-----
Corn snakes and rat snakes...No one can have just one.
"Resistance is futile"
Jimmy Johnson
(Draybar)
Draybars Snakes

_____


   

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>> Next Message:  RE: I did the math on the odds - bobassetto, Thu Dec 2 15:17:05 2010

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