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RE: i understand your rebuttal completely...and a question

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Posted by: rodmalm at Thu Apr 29 00:24:16 2004   [ Email Message ] [ Show All Posts by rodmalm ]  
   

I'm more than happy to answer a question. Especially when it is a civil as yours!



My point was, that everytime a new record is set, that breaks all records since records were kept, the news reports it as breaking all historical records, not as breaking a previous record set some time ago. As in my example that happened here last week were the temp. broke a 1926 record.



For instance, lets say that records were taken from 1800 until today for the city I live in.



If the following temps. were measured on a particular day during the following years.



1800 thru 1849------ all below 99 degrees

1850 ------------------ 101 degrees

1851 thru 1929------ all below 98 degrees

1930-------------------- 98 degrees

1931--------------------thru 2003 all below 98 degrees

2004--------------------99 degrees



Then the 2004 temp. would have broken the 1930 record of 98, and the news would report it as such. It would not have broken the 1850 record of 101.



If the 2004 temp. had broken the 1850 record, the news would have reported it as being so hot that it broke all recorded temps. So, while it sounds sensational to say that it broke a record set in 1930 record, in fact, it was hotter on this day in the year 1850. This means that there have been 154 years in a row of temps. that have been cooler on this day than the recorded 1850 temp.





So, unless the temp. recorded in 2004 broke all historical records, then it tends to indicate cooling instead of warming. Not at all the same impression that global warming alarmists would try to make with this data. A superficial analysis with some editorializing would make you think this indicates warming, but a more thorough analysis would show you the opposite.



Interestingly, the longer a record has stood (and the more sensational it sounds), the more likely it is that this indicates global cooling. (because there have been more years in a row that were cooler on that date.--except for the case when all records are broken which would indicate warming.) Global warming would cause recent records, and more importantly, all time records, to be broken frequently.





I hope that makes sense to you, it did to me.



Rodney


   

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