Posted by:
rearfang
at Fri Apr 30 07:33:23 2004 [ Email Message ] [ Show All Posts by rearfang ]
I went to sleep last night flipping coins....(lol)
It (besides the warming issue) illustrates the weakness of statistics. Logic dictates that in a set of circumstances (such as coin flipping) the most likey scenario is......50/50.
The problem is that life does not fit into a balance sheet and other factors can influence the outcome. Shoot the coin flipper and you no longer have a 50/50 outcome. Suppose the coin is heavier on the head side? you can control the fate of the coin by the speed and height that you flip it with (my father was a master at this game, which is why he loved to settle things with a coin toss-his coin).
So it is that all this noise about 200 this or spikes is irrelevant. What does matter is the mean temperature. Is the average highs-or lows going up.
(did I mention that I'm not a fan of statistics? (lol))
As to glaciation...a thought. if your glaciers are growing this could still be an example of global warming. if the rise in day time temperature is less severe and the night time temps are warmer-but still falling in the freezing range, then the result would be more evaporation durring the day and greater precipitation at night as snow.
The result would be a lower sea level and thicker glaciers. Your articles pointed out that fact Rodney.
Any thoughts on this?
Frank
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"The luxury of not getting involved departed with the last lifeboat Skipper..."
[ Hide Replies ]
- Funny stuff - pulatus, Fri Apr 30 00:34:18 2004
- RE: Funny stuff - rodmalm, Fri Apr 30 05:00:51 2004
 RE: Flipping......flipping.....flipping - rearfang, Fri Apr 30 07:33:23 2004
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