Hi Paul,



Don't take up cards. (LOL) You are making the classic mistake that I was referring to in my original post. The outcome of any one offspring has no bearing on the outcome of any another offspring. Think about the problem like this. Each of the snake eggs was issued 4 cards, 1 king, 2 queens, and a jack. (The 1:2:1 ratio that you get when you do the square for Aa x Aa cross.) Then someone comes along and draws one of these four cards for each snake egg. The odds of getting a king on any of the draws are 1 in 4. For each draw, the odds do not change regardless of any of the past results because each event (draw) is independent of the other. The result for any one or more snakes in the clutch has no effect on any of the other snakes. So the odds of getting a hetro snake from picking any of the wild type offspring is still 50/50.

[ Hide Replies ]

• The 66% Het Problem - Elaphefan, Thu Jul 7 22:14:27 2005
• RE: The 66% Het Problem - Paul Hollander, Sat Jul 9 15:14:33 2005
• RE: The 66% Het Problem - Paul Hollander, Sat Jul 9 15:29:24 2005
• RE: The 66% Het Problem - Elaphefan, Mon Jul 11 17:36:01 2005
• RE: The 66% Het Problem - Paul Hollander, Tue Jul 12 12:08:09 2005
• RE: The 66% Het Problem - Elaphefan, Tue Jul 12 21:20:37 2005
• RE: The 66% Het Problem - Paul Hollander, Wed Jul 13 12:29:32 2005
• RE: The 66% Het Problem - metalpest, Wed Sep 21 12:00:59 2005
• RE: The 66% Het Problem - guttersnacks, Fri Sep 30 14:13:37 2005
• RE: The 66% Het Problem - Paul Hollander, Sat Oct 1 18:16:32 2005
• RE: The 66% Het Problem - metalpest, Sat Oct 1 18:44:40 2005
• Nah, works like this.... - chris jones, Mon Oct 3 14:54:01 2005