Well, I'm no scientist, but if only 1% made it to be one year old, then it would be an endangered speices. Ball Pythons are not even threatened.
You have to look at the entire population and range of a given animal, and then subract what the market share is, to come up with a quota. Ball Pythons are only exported from Three Countries, Countries the size of some of our smaller states.
But they range across numerous regions, far into the center part of the contient.
Great Example I can show you:
Back in the '80's the State of Texas protected Gray Banded Kingsnakes, on the fear they "might" be over collected.
But after a few studies being done, one study actually became a book, that the state was forced to drop their protection.
You see, only a number of roads cut across their habiatat, and there is no way they can be overcollected, for 99% of Texas is private property and we collectors just can't cover all the areas they are found in.
And today..... Gray Banded Kingsnakes.... does anyone still even look for them? Maybe, but nowhere near the numbers they use to back in the good ole' days.
Ball Pythons, are they overcollected out of the wild? My honest "guess" proably not. Will they enforce laws to govern their collections and limits, I would say yes, in the near future. But like corns, kings and rat snakes, there are enough Ball Pythons in captivity today, that if they would close down all importation, it could substain itself.
We can today, stop importing Leopard Geckos, Burms, Retic, etc, etc, and do just fine.
What fuels the balls is the morphs!! What is next to be found?
Ron Billingsley