The casque is NOT a good indicator of them being fat. In some very fat chameleons, the fat will bulge out of the casque. However, the casque will also show swellings if there is edema.
The best way to check is to look at the tail base - not bones and connective tissue, bit not round either - just as said in the above post. The legs and feet will often swell, as will the area around the neck. MAny of these are also signs of edema - so be careful!
The tricky part is that in reptiles, diets do not work. You cut their intake to a starvation level, and every little calorie they DO get is stored in the liver as fat - exascerbating(sp?) the problem.
IF you have a fat lizard, feed more low fat foods, maybe increase the crunchy insect intake. When my veiled got fat years ago, I fed him one cricket every few days for a couple months, but I gave him lots of greens and flowers. With veields, you can reduce their insect intake a LOT, but increase their veggie intake to copensate.
I try to feed my chameleons the minimal amount of food to keep them from losing weight - it is a very small quantitiy in adult male veields.