I do not have to think, if you move them, they are dead, Period.
The reason I do not have to think is this subject has been tested many times over. Also, my field partner and best friend is a masters in herp and a captian at our local firehouse. They remove something like 3500 snakes a year(his firehouse) and there are a bunch of firehouses in the immediate area. And they kept tract of that. Their findings are like all others that kept tract, the snakes died.
The first event that brought this to sciences attention(a reason to study) is the California Desert tortoise. When they protected them, they did not grandfather them. So they confiscated all captive torts, many many hundreds. They took them to a nice location in the desert and released them. They marked them and followed them. They were mostly dead within a year. These were known animals. Then there are many parks that practiced capture and relocation of pest snakes(ones in camping areas) These were marked and sometimes radio tagged. These too died quickly. So, they started lowering the distance the snakes were moved and until the survival rate increased. That distance turned out to be less then a 1/2 mile.
Sadly, even releasing them in that short of distance does not eliminate them from perishing, it merely lowered the rate of death.
Let me add. I have been on a capture and pit tag study for 16 years or so, I am losing track. We started this study to see what effect this has on the snake colonies envolved. We already knew what the snakes did normally. So seeing what they did with us mucking with them would be new.
Our study is a little different, as we do NOT remove the snakes from the area. We find them(my job) we process them(gather information) we tag them and release in the exact same spot we found them. This took 15 minutes, in the early years, but as the years went by, we were required to take more information and this increased the time to about 30 minutes.
The results ARE. 65% of the individuals disappear. 35% are found over and over, for many years and many contacts. To clarify that, 50% disappear(die/perish/fail to exsist) immediately. 15% require several contacts to drive them away (kill them of).
Again this needs some clarification. Of the 35% that stay survive. None have traveled more then a couple hundred yards. They ALL have stayed in the EXACT same area. That is, none have moved to another drainage or canyon. We study three small canyons and monitor two more. We also check close by areas from time to time. NO individual as ever been found in another area. They either are recaptured or disappear.
Now consider, we find(collect data on) on average, 8 individuals per day. Normally just under half are tagged. The rest are naive(new, untagged) The short term rate(day to day) happens to be a little higher then the longterm rate.
Now consider, before we started this tagging them. We watched this area for about a decade. Which means we have something to compare too.
The changes, the numbers are the same. No change. But, the groupings have changed. In the first few years, the snakes were commonly in groups, pairs, trios, more. As the years moved on, this became rare. Now, if we find more then pairs we are lucky. Even numbers of pairs have dropped a lot.
Again, we can just move to a naive area and still find them commonly in groups.
Heres the deal. I also have several areas that I do not contact the animals. I photograph or simply remember them. I have watched these areas for a very long time. With the torts and gilas, next year will be 29 years. These animals are still commonly in groups and are much easier to find. Which means they do not move and find new homes(or die). ONLY the individuals that are contacted do. In fact, even the remaining ones on our site, move each and everytime they are contacted. The individuals that are not, do not. They stay and are found in the EXACT same place, year after year.
This brings up many points. Interference does not kill off the colony, but it does impact many individuals. From this comparison studies. I have a strong idea of where the problem exsist.
First, these animals do not know us from a coyote or bobcat or bear. We are a deadly predator. So, if you do not break their defenses, they stay, they are under their biological design control. Their behaviors worked.
But if you break their defenses, touch them, grab them, take them out of their control, they MUST flee the area. THAT is behavior. To flee means to start over in another area. You have broken their survival behaviors. Because its behavior, its not an exact number or an exact responce. Behavior being soft(not so hard wired) is what allows adaption. In otherwords, if we impacted this colony for 100 years or less, it would become mostly snakes that stay, instead of snakes that flee. This behavioral adaption may lead to others as well. It would soon lead to rattlesnakes that did not rattle at people(stupid herp researchers) But would still rattle are other predators(if any still exsist)
Now consider, 99% of the individuals perish trying to locate conditions that support their survival. In otherwords, whats the chances of surviving something with a 99% fatality rate, SEVERAL times, hahahahahaha I can answer, not good! Ok, what if at times its not 99%, but only 90% or 80% or 70% etc. The reality is, its not a fixed number. But at all but a few rare times, a high number. There are such things as behavior breakers, like Katrina. Huge floods and fires, that break all these behaviors and they start over. Unfortunately, these also kill of most individuals too.
Nature is not civil. Lets look at your survival. What if, there were no laws. And in fact, the laws were opposite of what they are now. Lets say, it was normal for anyone who did not know you(you grew up around) to run you off or kill you(kinda instintual human behavior). We are talking about humans. Now what if, the vast majority of predators where the size of buildings? Also, there are no doctors or cops. Would you travel much? would you go to town? What are the chances of your survival is you were kicked out of your area? or run off by a monster? I can answer that too.
So in the end, the first rule of biology was taught to us a long time ago. Animals practice a behavior called, fight or flight. That means, if they can beat you(fight) its ok, they stay. If not, they take flight. The problem is, to take flight normally causes their death. And the reason is simple. When they take flight, they run the gauntlet of predators without the knowledge of where to hide.
I know a bit long, but its a great subject. Of course, many reseachers think you can catch them, take them home, slice them open, install radios, sew them up, release them, follow them with a TV antennae sticking out of your head, and all data will be normal. WHAT FRACKEN IDIOTS, hahahahahahahaha This is reason I treat academics like I do. They treat animals like windup toys. What fracken idiots, animals have behavior. How simple is that, FRACK. hahahahahahaha Cheers