First off, you should provide more information on your setup and dragon. A picture of his/her setup would be very helpful. Also, is the dragon male or female? What is his/her weight? What are the temps.? How much and how often is he/she eating? It is important to be sure it is brumation and not sickness. Have you had a fecal done lately?
My hard brumators usually go down for about 5 months. Most often they are female but I have 2 males that also do this. I already had one male disappear for a month and is now up and active.
Very little weight loss should be expected, 15 grams or less in a 500 gram dragon over a 5 week period. The only weight they should lose is water weight and 15 grams represents 15 cc which is a lot. I wake mine every 5 weeks, allow them to bask and offer water.
Generally, the dragons act the same year to year. The brumators always brumate.
I never withhold food. Even when I wake them I offer salad, they usually don't partake. I don't encourage brumation. The first time I wake them they usually stay up and bask until they do a huge poop.
It seems that brumation starts earlier each year. It seems their annual cycle is less than 12 months, closer to 11. Odd, but this is an observation confirmed by others also.
Occasionally, I have had dragons brumate at 250 grams and less than 7 months. It is not ideal but in the long run they suffered no ill effects or reduced growth. Again, I would make sure it is not illness causing the behavior. If that is ruled out then give them a place to effectively brumate. I use sand and they will dig in and close the opening to save humidity. A pic is below.
