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1997 Warmest Year Of Century, NOAA Reports

pulatus May 05, 2004 09:17 AM

1997 Warmest Year Of Century, NOAA Reports

Last year was the warmest year of this century, based on land and ocean surface temperature data, reports a team of scientists from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, N. C.

Led by the center's Senior Scientist Tom Karl, the team analyzed temperatures from around the globe during the years 1900 to 1997 and back to 1880 for land areas. For 1997, land and ocean temperatures averaged three-quarters of a degree Fahrenheit above normal. (Normal is defined by the mean temperature, 61.7 degrees F, for the 30-years 1961-90.) The 1997 figure exceeds the previous record warm year, 1990, by 0.15 degrees Fahrenheit.

The record-breaking warm conditions of 1997 continues the pattern of very warm global temperatures. Nine of the past eleven years have been the warmest on record.

"Land temperatures did not break the previous record set in 1990, but 1997 was one of the five warmest years since 1880," said Karl. Including 1997, the top ten warmest years over the land have all occurred since 1981, and the warmest five years all since 1990. Land temperatures for 1997 averaged three-quarters of a degree above normal, falling short of the 1990 record by one-quarter of a degree.

Ocean temperatures during 1997 also averaged three-quarters of a degree above normal, which makes it the warmest year on record, exceeding the previous record warm years of 1987 and 1995 by 0.3 of a degree Fahrenheit.

With the new data factored in, global temperature warming trends now exceed 1.0 degree Fahrenheit per 100 years, with land temperatures warming at a somewhat faster rate. "It is likely that the sustained trend toward increasingly warmer global temperatures is related to anthropogenic increases in greenhouse gases," Karl said.
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Replies (2)

rodmalm May 07, 2004 05:07 PM

can influence peoples thinking about global warming.

so, lets see, 1997 was the warmest in a century? Then that means it was warmer just over a century ago, and it has been cooler ever since then. (it has been cooler for 100 years in a row!)

Yep, that's certainly alarming! And 100 years of cooler weather clearly shows a warming trend!

And a little over one degree increase in the nest 100 years? also very alarming! I'm shaking in my boots.

95 percent of warming is from water vapor, 5% from everything else, (methane, CO2, etc.) so if we spend trillions to cut CO2 emissions, we can reduce a fraction of 5% of one degree so maybe we could cut global warming by as much as .02 degrees (assuming we cut our CO2 production by 40% and no natural production (the lions share of it) is taken into account) over the next 100 years. (Assuming that countries like China, and other developing countries also comply, so they won't have a competitive advantage over us in the global economy?) Yeah, right!

But then again, those 1 degree estimates will probably change again in another month or two, considering how many times they have changed in the past few years. Maybe THIS time their projections are right. Every heard the saying, "Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me!"? They can't even get tomorrows temps correst to within 2 degrees 50% of the time, and now they want me to believe they know what will happen 100 years from now? After continually changing their estimates?

Funny how no one ever tells you that green house gasses are essential to life on Earth. In fact, if wasn't for the insulating effects of Green house gasses, we could expect weather reports to go like this, "Tomorrow will be a sunny 300 degrees, so bring the kids to the beach! Tonight will be a balmy 400 below zero, the following day will be a little warmer, maybe even hot, but the nights will start getting chilly soon!" Green house gasses are what makes life on almost any planet possible! Theorists think that life couldn't even exist on other planets, without water, because of the temp. extremes that water vapor, the main green house gas, prevents due to it's green-house gas characteristics.--not to mention biological functions that may require it.

Rodney

rearfang May 07, 2004 05:21 PM

I can't resist....If we can't depend on a weather forcaster to predict tomorrow's weather, then we can't trust ANY of the so called experts that predict or deny global warming as all of them are privy to the same data....and can't agree.

Personally...I am back to looking out my window.......(lol)

Frank
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"The luxury of not getting involved departed with the last lifeboat Skipper..."

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