as it realates to ball pythons (or any other reptile).
I bred and raised parrots for 15 years. Starting with the cockatiels, lovebirds and budgies and slowly working my way up to cockatoos, macaws and African Grays (My favorite).
Back in the '80s, the bird market was so popular that everyone started getting into it. Most were breeding the more affordable birds. And just like Ball Python morphs,
people asked the same question. "Is it safe to invest in the high dollar birds?" Back then, you could buy a mature breeding African Gray for about $500 (wild caught).
So a pair would run around $1,000, give or take. Hand fed baby African Grays sold for around $1000-1,200.
Here's what happened. Everyone started breeding them. Then the prices dropped to around $500 for a baby.
Cockatiels went from $125 down to an embarrassing $45-$75. And that's a hand fed baby.
This got everyone I know, discouraged. They started to worry about investing any more money.
And started selling of their "proven pairs". They felt it just wasn't worth the risk. Well...we were ALL wrong.
Those that stayed with it, are now some of the few breeders of these same birds.
And babies are hard to come by. The market is still very strong, if not even stronger
because the prices dropped to a hobbyist level. And the breeders can't keep up.
Nobody I know of every lost money in birds. I know of a lot of people that made tons of it.
And even recouped their original investment many times over when they got out.
And now wish they had not panicked when the prices dipped a little.
There's a saying that I love that goes like this...
"Sell to the classes, and live with the masses,
sell to the masses, and live with the classes."
If it's not obvious, that means that if you are selling only a few high dollar items to a few people, you'll continue to be the little guy. But when you start to sell LOTS of an item to massive amounts of people, you become the big guy.
As Luke said, IF the prices drop at all, the worse thing that would happen is that you sell to a larger market of people and you yourself can afford more breeders to try and keep up.
That's my take on it anyway.
Troy Dozier
Reptilian Projects