Ed, you do not think that surface temps have anything to do with air temps??? They are both interrelated, and air temps greatly affect surface temps.
Going by what you have told us, I take it you only have a very thin layer of substrate... Most people do this as well; offer an inch or two of 'calci sand' or even newspaper. How do you expect surface temperatures to remain constant, unaffected by air temps??? In nature, surface/ground temps are often different temperature than the air temp, especially at night... Why is that? Because the ground has a tremendous amount of mass, it is many miles thick... The ground in nature, because of its thickness, acts as a great insulator, and retains heat very well. When you only have an inch or so of soil, or sand, or newspaper(doesn't hold anything), you do not have any type of insulator, that will prevent the surface/substrate temps from becoming the same as the air temps...
Remember where Leopard Geckos come from in the wild. They come from Pakistan, Afghanistan, etc.. These are very extreme areas, where there is a great fluctuation in air temps throughout any given day. While temps may be nice and warm during the day(sometimes too hot for their liking), temps typically drop off drastically at night..This is why they utilize burrows or cracks or fissures, etc... Within a large mass, the temps remain rather constant(and favorable), than out in the open, whether it be blazing hot, or too cold(at night). This is why they, and other reptiles from similar environments, tend to locate themselves around boulders, cliffs, burrows, etc.. as these areas retain heat very well.
With most people's captive setups, they do not offer such options. In most people's cases, they are either forced to bask, or be cold on the opposite end of the enclosure.. There is usually only one hiding spot(usually insufficient in size- often too large; reptiles like to wedge themselves into areas for security, big black plastic hideboxes do not offer that sense of security)...
So I see a general failure to understand what leopard geckos are, and how they live, seek out heat/resources in most people.. Your surface temperatures are not going to differ much from your air temperatures, unless you offer a great amount of inuslation that will retain the heat...
Cheers,
Bob
"run to the hills, run for your lives...."
*listen to Iron Maiden
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TheOdatriad

