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Posted by: JP at Wed Apr 13 17:05:00 2005 [ Email Message ] [ Show All Posts by JP ]

You mentioned the coin flip analogy. You said that if you flipped a coin a hundred times, you'd get approximately 50 heads...now imagine this scenario. If you did flip the first fifty flips, and happened to get 50 heads (unlikely, I'll admit, but not impossible, right), then your thinking would assume the next flip has an extremely high probability of being a tails....when in fact the next flip still has an exactly 50/50 chance of being heads or tails....

Probability and odds are two different things. Each egg is completely independent from the others. Lets say you breed a het to and albino and get and 8 egg clutch. If 7 of those eggs turn out to be albino in year one, each egg in year two has a 50% chance of being an albino. Lets say that happens three years in a row...(21 albinos and 3 hets)...next year, each egg still has a 50% chance. Maybe I'm not following you....

[ Hide Replies ]

How to on Albinos - Nightshade, Wed Apr 13 08:23:51 2005

RE: How to on Albinos - Quinton, Wed Apr 13 08:32:18 2005

RE: How to on Albinos - Christy Talbert, Wed Apr 13 08:58:38 2005

RE: How to on Albinos - Nightshade, Wed Apr 13 09:08:52 2005

Correction: 25% Albino, 25% Normal, and 50% Het. (not half albino half het) - FerrisBueler, Wed Apr 13 09:44:31 2005

No, read the original post... - Christy Talbert, Wed Apr 13 09:47:18 2005

Technically speaking.......(once again clearing up my pet peave) - JP, Wed Apr 13 09:58:39 2005

RE: Technically speaking.......(once again clearing up my pet peave) - J35J, Wed Apr 13 10:23:06 2005

Yes, I know...lol.... - Christy Talbert, Wed Apr 13 10:27:10 2005

RE: Yes, I know...lol.... - J35J, Wed Apr 13 10:28:25 2005

RE: Technically speaking.......(once again clearing up my pet peave) - jmartin104, Wed Apr 13 11:39:14 2005

Wait a minute... - rwoodyer, Wed Apr 13 14:32:39 2005

Again at the heart of the problem.... - JP, Wed Apr 13 17:05:00 2005

RE: Again at the heart of the problem.... - oddballpythons, Thu Apr 14 11:00:02 2005

RE: Again at the heart of the problem.... - rwoodyer, Fri Apr 15 01:01:13 2005

RE: Again at the heart of the problem.... - rwoodyer, Fri Apr 15 01:06:39 2005

No - 50/50 is correct - toshamc, Wed Apr 13 09:48:35 2005

RE: Correction: 25% Albino, 25% Normal, and 50% Het. (not half albino half het) - CJBianco, Wed Apr 13 09:48:49 2005

RE: Arrrggghhhh... - CJBianco, Wed Apr 13 09:52:26 2005

ROFL hunt and peck quicker... - FerrisBueler, Wed Apr 13 09:55:33 2005

RE: ROFL hunt and peck quicker... - ginebig, Wed Apr 13 12:45:39 2005

LOL - toshamc, Wed Apr 13 10:45:56 2005

I guess I should read the post first...apologies LOL - FerrisBueler, Wed Apr 13 09:53:03 2005

Male vs. Female - RandyRemington, Thu Apr 14 06:05:27 2005

I bet you didn't think such a simple Q could generate such a long thread! - Christy Talbert, Wed Apr 13 18:08:42 2005

RE: I bet you didn't think such a simple Q could generate such a long thread! - Nightshade, Thu Apr 14 08:50:23 2005

>> Next topic: Albino X Normal - CJBianco, Wed Apr 13 10:56:34 2005
<< Previous topic: Question on Starting out and investing.....for the future! - crazy4burm123, Tue Apr 12 23:31:04 2005

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Again at the heart of the problem....

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